Greece voteThe distrust question
The Chancellor combines the vote on a new aid package for Greece is not a question of trust. But many in the Union will see a new third bailout with skepticism. Merkel makes a mistake?
17/07/2015, by GÜNTER BANNA , BERLIN
"No. The confidence I was considering not to make ", has Angela Merkelsaid on early Monday morning, after the completion of the 17th hour long Greece marathon negotiations the leaders of the euro countries. Anything else would be an act of state was beyond compare.
Of the 631 members of the Bundestag belong 311 of its CDU on / CSU parliamentary group, almost half so.There are also 193 deputies of the SPD. In the matter itself, Merkel can also be sure of the votes of 63 MPs of the Green opposition. Only on the 64 votes of the Left Party, the Chancellor is unable to base. With such comfortable majorities to operate with the votes of confidence, would not have been surpassed in absurdity.
A reason to check with Merkel later, it had indeed but given: sentiment in the CDU / CSU parliamentary group. More than ten percent of the present Unions deputies had voted in February during the vote on the extension of the aid program with "No". More than a hundred of them made statements, which they had actually voted against my better judgment "Yes" and no longer wanted to do it again. The fact that many Union members reigns skepticism also showed a straw poll of the group on Thursday evening. As participants reported 48 MPs voted against new negotiations for a third bailout. In addition, three MPs contained.
Schäuble as Traumtänzer
Especially the middle class politicians of the Union are among the opponents of Merkel's Greece-course. The middle class but is part of the electoral base of the Union. 188 of the 311 CDU / CSU deputies "to get involved", as they say, the "parliament county Mittelstand" (PKM).
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Chairman of the largest political group group Christian von Stetten.He had voted in February with "No".He will do that again. His statement on the outcome of recent negotiations in Brussels is not to surpass in clarity. "This is a sleight of hand - it is cowardly and loaded the next generation with bad checks," he said.
"With such a Bundestag decision we would make the Insolvenzverschleppung guilty and the next generation with bad checks burden", he added. "We must accept finite Bundestag that the bounced checks from Greece are worthless and the German people must write off a billion amount. Who this still denies, is a, Traumtänzer 'and has not yet grasped the reality. "Merkel and Schäuble to call Traumtänzer, is strong stuff.
Distrust of their own faction
Certainly do not think and act all 188 PKM-trailers as of Stetten. Merkel knows that. Not even all those who their "probably-never-more-again" charges -Declaration in February, will change this Friday in the No camp. You know why.If even more than half of the CDU / CSU parliamentary group against the vote Merkel (and also that of Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble) would oppose, the Chancellor would have lost their leadership ability.
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And Volker Kauder, the CDU / CSU parliamentary group chairman, his well - even in the event that the Government request by means of SPD and Greens were to be adopted. The consequence: the CDU and CSU would no longer be able to govern in the federal government.
Had Merkel of the constitutional possibility to combine the vote on the Greek bailout by the vote of confidence, made use, that would be given the majority in the Bundestag had not been more than a statement of their distrust to the address of their own parliamentary group - at the reason and to their will to govern the country.
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