Brazil Leads World in Reducing Carbon Emissions by Slashing Deforestation
Success comes as soy and beef production increased, though threats remain.
PHOTOGRAPH BY JOHN STANMEYER, NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC CREATIVE
Published June 5, 2014
Brazil's success in slowing rain forest destruction has resulted in
enormous reductions in carbon emissions and shows that it's possible to
zealously promote sustainability while still growing the economy,
suggests a new study out Thursday.
"In Brazil, there was rising awareness of the value of nature and how
essential it is to our society," says Fabio Rubio Scarano, the vice
president of Conservation International's Americas Division, who is based in Rio de Janeiro.
"Planning must take into account many factors, including nature,"
says Scarano. And when it comes to stopping deforestation, "there's no
one right way," said Boucher of the Union of Concerned Scientists. "But
rather a smorgasbord of options."
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A second study
out this week also underscores Brazil's success and shows that
deforestation has also slowed in several other tropical countries.
Since 2004, farmers and ranchers in Brazil have saved over
33,000 square miles (86,000 square kilometers) of rain forest from
clear-cutting, the rough equivalent of 14.3 million soccer fields, a
team of scientists and economists from the U.S. and South America report
in Science. At the same time, production of beef and soy from Brazil's Amazon region rose.
The country has reduced deforestation by 70 percent and
kept 3.2 billion tons of carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere, because
forests use carbon as they grow and release it when they are removed,
often through burning. That makes Brazil's the biggest reduction in
greenhouse gas emissions of any country in the world; the cut is more
than three times bigger than the effect of taking all the cars in the
U.S. off the road for a year.
"Brazil is known as a leading favorite to win the World Cup, but they also lead the world in mitigating climate change," the Science study's lead author, Daniel Nepstad of the Earth Innovation Institute in San Francisco, said in a statement.
Brazil's success in saving about 80 percent of the original
Amazon serves as a model for other countries around the world and
represents a "completely different trajectory for forest areas over the
last few centuries," says Toby McGrath, a senior scientist at the
institute and another of the study's co-authors. (See "Photos: The Last of the Amazon.")
"For the first time in history, we are stopping the process
of forest loss on a frontier before it gets seriously depleted, while
continuing to develop economies that still have substantial forest
cover," says McGrath.
Globally, deforestation is responsible for about 10 percent
of all climate emissions, says a study released Wednesday by the Union
of Concerned Scientists. That's down from 17 percent of emissions in the
1990s, thanks to falling rates of deforestation.
"Brazil is most notably lauded for their deforestation
reductions, but the report found numerous example of successfully saving
forests in unexpected locations," study author Doug Boucher, director
of the Union of Concerned Scientists' Tropical Forest and Climate
Initiative, said in a statement. Mexico, El Salvador, and six countries
in Central Africa, in particular, have shown decreased rates of
deforestation.
Measure of Success
For the Science study, scientists and economists
analyzed how Brazil was able to reverse decades of high rates of
deforestation in the Amazon, starting in 2005, when then-president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
announced the ambitious goal of slashing the rate by 80 percent over
the previous year. After that, things turned around due to a number of
factors coming together, says McGrath.
One important element was the advancement of remote sensing
technology. Although Brazil first passed a forest code requiring
landowners in the Amazon to protect at least 50 percent of native forest
in 1965, enforcement was spotty. "Officials didn't have good
information on where deforestation was occurring and who was on the
ground," says McGrath.
Over the past few years, satellites have given officials a more precise picture of the forest, often in real time.
Another boost to deforestation efforts: The forest code was
updated in 2012 and now requires landowners to preserve 80 percent of
the Amazon's virgin forest, as well as protect watersheds. Those that
have violated the rules have increasingly received fines and even jail
time in extreme cases.
Nonprofit groups, meanwhile, have helped publicize data on
rule breakers and have built support for enforcing the law. Campaigns by
Greenpeace, Conservation International, and others put pressure on
companies that buy products from the Amazon, especially beef and soy,
shaming those that have been found to contribute to deforestation.
Market agreements signed by companies took that a step further,
prohibiting practices that lead to deforestation.
In a tough regulatory approach called "critical counties,"
the Brazilian government also removes incentives for all the
agricultural producers in a county if there's a lot of deforestation
going on there. There has been rising opposition to this program, but it
has been effective, says McGrath. "It increases internal pressure to
make everybody fall in line."
The Brazilian government has also created new protected
reserves of forest in the Amazon, especially along frontier areas where
deforestation had started. Managing these new areas has effectively
stopped its tree loss, says McGrath.
PHOTOGRAPH BY ALEX WEBB, NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC CREATIVE
Keeping Production Up
Although landowners in the Amazon face restrictions on how
much land they can clear, overall production of beef and soy has risen
over the past decade, the scientists and economists note.
McGrath says producers have been focused on increasing their
efficiency and productivity, in part because they often don't have the
option of clearing more land. As a result, many have successfully
adopted better management practices.
That process can go further, says Scarano. If land that is
currently not very productive could be managed better, then Brazil
"could double food production without cutting a single tree," he says.
But farmers could use more support from the government, with a policy that encourages efficiency, he says.
Emerging Threats and Next Steps
Scarano and McGrath both note that 2013 saw a slight uptick
in the rate of deforestation in Brazil's section of the Amazon,
although the rate remains much lower than it was decades ago.
The cause of the recent changes is unclear, but it could be
related to weather patterns, which can encourage more land clearing, as
well as rising global demand for food. It also highlights the need for
further improvements, both men agree.
A new government program that requires landowners to register their usage plans should help, says Scarano.
McGrath adds that another step should be to strengthen the
system for incentives for landowners who follow good management
practices. They could receive payments from emerging carbon markets for
the amount of greenhouse gases they prevent, or for other "ecosystem
services" like protecting water quality.
A few pilot projects have been under way, some funded by a
one-billion-dollar grant from Norway and others, tying in to
California's growing carbon market.
In a suggestion that some environmentalists might find
counterintuitive, McGrath also says international food companies that
are committed to preventing deforestation should consider working in
additional areas in the Amazon.
"If they don't move into those areas because they are
afraid of getting accused of deforestation, then other groups that don't
care will move in and will exploit the resources," says McGrath.
"Because it is going to get developed somehow."
Brazil’s agricultural lobby had battled with
environmentalists over the most recent updates to the Forest Code. But
now that the law is in place, the next step has been trying to figure
out implementation, says Gustavo Diniz Junqueira, the president of the
influential Brazilian Rural Society, which represents agricultural
producers in the country.
Junqueira says large producers in the Amazon have
effectively ceased deforestation, although some smaller producers are
still removing trees. To help reduce that, small-scale producers need
more access to technology. They also need insurance coverage, he says.
The Brazilian agribusiness industry is trying to shake its
reputation as being “an enemy of the environment,” says Junqueira.
“Instead of expansion in new areas, we are looking at how to produce
more in the same areas,” he notes. In that way, over the past few years,
soy production has been rising six percent a year.
Scarano adds that despite Brazil's success on
deforestation, many other environmental problems remain. The country
faces big challenges in "reconciling nature conservation with the needs
of human well-being," he says.
Planned development of large-scale hydroelectric plants in
the Amazon and elsewhere in the country could erase some of the gains
that have been made in protecting forests, he warns. The country also
hopes to build additional infrastructure as the economy grows.
Some environmentalists, such as celebrity Bianca Jagger, have criticized Brazil
for not doing enough to protect indigenous rights and for poor living
conditions in vast urban favelas, including water quality issues. As the
world looks to Brazil for the World Cup and Olympics, those issues may
come into sharper focus.
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