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Monday, May 19, 2014

Thai Troubles- BBC


What is behind Thailand's political turmoil?

An anti-government protester marching in the city centre celebrates shortly after a Thai court delivered its verdict on Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra, in Bangkok, 7 May 2014  
Anti-government protesters say the government has been buying votes with irresponsible spending pledges
Thailand's Constitutional Court has removed Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra, the latest move in the long-running political crisis. The BBC looks at the factors behind the deadlock, and what government supporters and opponents want.

Why did the court oust Ms Yingluck?
  The Constitutional Court ruled that Ms Yingluck acted illegally when she transferred her national security chief Thawil Pliensri to another position in 2011.

The security chief was appointed by the previous government and had been openly critical of Ms Yingluck's government. He was later reinstated.

The binding decision also ordered nine cabinet ministers involved in the transfer to step down.
Supporters of Ms Yingluck and the ruling Pheu Thai Party believe the courts side with the urban elite who oppose her and are therefore biased.

Profile: Yingluck Shinawatra
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What could happen next?

Ms Yingluck's supporters see the case as an attempt by the elite to force her from office

There are fears this could lead to clashes between Ms Yingluck's supporters, the "red-shirts", and anti-government protesters.

Thai politics are deeply polarised. The Pheu Thai Party has a strong support base with rural voters and won elections in 2011. The "red-shirts" had said they would view any court move to bar Ms Yingluck from office as a judicial coup.

However, anti-government demonstrators, who tend to be urban and middle-class voters, have protested against Ms Yingluck's administration for months, occupying official buildings and disrupting elections in February.

At least 27 people have died over the course of the protests.
Where is Thailand heading after protests?
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Who is in charge now?
File photo: Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra with members of her new cabinet at Government House in Bangkok, 10 August 2011  
 Ms Yingluck (pictured) and nine cabinet ministers have been ordered to step down
 
For now, the remaining cabinet ministers in Ms Yingluck's government can continue working in a caretaker administration. Commerce Minister Niwatthamrong Boonsongphaisan has replaced Ms Yingluck as prime minister.

Polls are scheduled for 20 July after the previous snap election in February, which the government was expected to win, was declared unconstitutional because the protesters disrupted it.

Thailand's opposition says it will boycott the next election too. It says the vote should be delayed and an interim government appointed to oversee political reform.

Thailand's anti-graft body, meanwhile, has charged Ms Yingluck over a controversial rice subsidy scheme - a move that could lead to a five-year ban from politics.

No grand bargain amid Thai crisis
Thai PM probed over 'corrupt rice subsidy scheme'
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How did the latest crisis begin?
Anti-government protesters marching in the city centre celebrate shortly after a Thai court delivered its verdict on Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra, in Bangkok, 7 May 2014  
 
The government shelved a controversial amnesty bill, but protests against the administration continued
The latest round of political turmoil began in November after Thailand's lower house passed a controversial amnesty bill which critics said could allow former leader Thaksin Shinawatra to return without serving time in jail.

Tens of thousands of protesters took to the streets of Bangkok to voice their opposition to the bill.
Mr Thaksin, one of the most polarising characters in Thai politics, now lives in self-imposed exile overseas after being convicted of corruption, but remains popular with many rural voters.

The amnesty bill was proposed by the government of Ms Yingluck, who is Mr Thaksin's sister. The bill was eventually rejected by the Senate, but anti-government protests continued and new demands emerged.

Analysis: Protesters' challenge
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Who are the two sides?
Suthep Thaugsuban waves to supporters during an anti-government march to the Government complex in Bangkok, Thailand, 27 November 2013  
Protest leader Suthep Thaugsuban wants the government to step down
 
Anti-government demonstrations are being led by Suthep Thaugsuban, a former Thai deputy prime minister who resigned from the opposition Democrat Party to lead the rallies.

The protesters are united by their opposition to Mr Thaksin, and their belief that he is still controlling the current Pheu Thai government.

The protesters say the government has been buying votes with irresponsible spending pledges aimed at its support base - thereby creating a flawed democracy.

Thai pro-government "Red Shirts" at a rally in Bangkok on 24 November 2013  
Government supporters have warned that any attempt to oust Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra could trigger a civil war
 
The government's "red-shirt" supporters have held a number of rallies, but have for the most part remained off the streets.

They have been largely supportive of the government's policies, and have warned that they will turn out in large numbers if the government they elected is forced from office.

Observers fear that if they were to decide to protest an escalation in violence would follow.

Profile: Suthep Thaugsuban and Thailand's protesters
Thai 'red shirts' warn of civil war
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How have the protests unfolded?
File photo: Anti-government protesters gesture towards policemen coming close to their barricade near the Government House in Bangkok, 18 February 2014  
Anti-government protesters set up barricades and took over official buildings in Bangkok
 
In November, around 100,000 anti-government demonstrators took to the streets - although numbers have since substantially decreased.

The rallies began peacefully but turned deadly when violence broke out near a pro-government "red-shirt" rally on 30 November, killing one.

Police initially avoided confronting the protesters, in an attempt to avoid violence. But they moved in to clear some of the sites occupied by protesters in February, sparking deadly clashes.

Some were also killed in attacks on anti-government protests. Both pro- and anti-government groups accused each other of carrying out the attacks.

Deadly attacks hit rallies in Thailand
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What's the history behind the crisis?
File photo: Supporters of former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra demonstrate at the army headquarters in Bangkok, 29 January 2010  
 
Mr Thaksin's supporters shut down parts of Bangkok in 2010
 
Thailand has faced a power struggle since Mr Thaksin was ousted by the military as prime minister in a 2006 military coup, accused of corruption and abuse of power.

Mr Thaksin fled Thailand in 2008 after being given a jail term. A government of his allies was elected in the first post-coup polls but later removed by the courts.

In 2010, Mr Thaksin's supporters occupied parts of Bangkok. More than 90 people, mostly civilian protesters, died over the course of the two-month action and crackdown that followed.
Thailand enjoyed a brief period of relative stability after Ms Yingluck came to power in 2011.
However, her government's attempt to pass the political amnesty bill reignited tensions and led to the latest anti-government protests.

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